Sunday, October 12, 2014

From The Long War Journal: We are not slowing down ISIS.

Islamic State assassinates Anbar province police chief


The Islamic State has killed the top police commander for Anbar province, in an IED attack today in a village that is home to the anti-jihadist Awakening in Ramadi. The assassination is the latest blow to Iraq's beleaguered security forces in the western province.
General Ahmad Sadak al Dulaymi, Anbar's police chief, was patrolling the village of Albu Risha when the Islamic State targeted his convoy with two IEDs, or improvised explosive devices, earlier today. The police general and three bodyguards were killed in the attack, according to The New York Times.

Read more: http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2014/10/islamic_state_assass.php#ixzz3FyiRFTxg

Tuesday, October 7, 2014

Rising Tide Against Oil Trains and Oil Terminals

Railroads are transporting highly volatile oil from the North Dakota oil shale fields across the country to refineries. Most, if not all, of the tanker cars holding the oil are not safe. There have been a number of huge explosions, some with fatalities.  There is an effort in the Pacific Northwest, organized by risingtide.org, to try to stop these trains. Not only do they pose a huge danger to people, oil spills could cause unrepairable damage to the Columbia River and its treasure of salmon breeding grounds.


And, of course, there is the overriding issue of the expansion of the use of fossil fuels and the huge role they play in rising Earth temperatures and climate change. See my review of This Changes Everything. And the oil is extracted through fracking, which has its own issues with the environment and water supplies.

The economic arguments for the oil refineries on the West Coast and the transport of oil in tens of thousands of unsafe oil tank cars do not begin to justify the risks involved to people and the environment.

For more information on the Rising Tide organization's efforts to stop the oil trains and the oil refineries go to this link.

They are sponsoring a showing the Vice documentary, "Bomb Trains," tonight (Tuesday, Oct. 7) in Portland. There is information on the Rising Tide website.  If you cannot go to this event, the documentary can be seen on YouTube here.

Friday, October 3, 2014

Naomi Klein provides accelerant to the re-ignited Climate Change Movement - a book review.

Naomi Klein. This Changes Everything. New York: Simon & Schuster, 2014. 566 p. $30.00.

A book review by Dan Riker

According to Thomas Piketty in Capital in the Twenty-First Century the rich are going to get much richer and more powerful, and there is not much we can do about it. However, if we don't stop the Earth from heating up in the next ten years, there may not be a world that even the rich can enjoy, writes Naomi Klein in her powerful new book, This Changes Everything.
Until now, Piketty's book probably was the most influential and controversial book of the year - maybe in quite a few years. However, Klein arguably has trumped Piketty, by describing in terms that anyone can understand the almost immediate crisis the world faces with climate change and what needs to be done about it. And by so doing she provides accelerant to a climate change movement re-ignited by the recent massive march in New York City.
Klein, a Canadian journalist, has had two previous bestsellers, The Shock Doctrine and No Logo, and This Changes Everything already has made the bestseller lists.
While not highly technical, this is a well-documented book, with 100 pages of notes. She doesn't dwell on the climate science, but the data she cites is all that is needed. The amount of carbon in the Earth's atmosphere is increasing, mostly because of the burning of fossil fuels, oil, gasoline, natural gas and coal. The use of those fuels is increasing, rather than decreasing, and the carbon emissions, trapped in the atmosphere, are causing the temperature of the Earth to rise. Klein quotes a 2012 report by the World Bank discussing the projection for ten years from now:

"(A)s global warming approaches and exceeds 2-degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), there is a risk of triggering nonlinear tipping elements. Examples include the disintegration of the West Antarctic ice sheet leading to more rapid sea-level rise, or large-scale Amazon dieback drastically affecting ecosystems, rivers, agriculture, energy production, and livelihoods. This would further add to 21st Century global warming and impact entire continents."

Klein adds, "In other words, once we allow temperatures to climb past a certain point, where the mercury stops is not in our control." The World Bank went on to write, "we're on track for a 4 degree C warmer world (by century's end) marked by extreme heat waves, declining global food stocks, loss of ecosystems and biodiversity, and life-threatening sea level rise."
And she points out that recent data indicates the track now is actually for a 6 degree C rise, which would cause uncontrollable catastrophes that are likely to make the Earth uninhabitable. This is something that could happen in the lifetimes of people now alive. Temperature rises have to be stropped before they exceed 2 degrees Celsius in the next ten years.
There is no valid scientific data to refute these projections. Those who have made denying climate change a profitable profession, due to financial support from the fossil fuel industry, have been roundly defeated in public discourse, and by hard evidence. But the fossil fuel industry - and its minions in the Republican Party - promote denial, and try to convince the unwary, and uninformed, of its validity. And they have been successful in preventing American government action against climate change.
While the national government may not be doing anything, Klein writes, the industry's frenetic efforts to extract as much fossil fuel as possible, as fast as possible, are generating increasing citizen opposition. Fracking is a good example.
Fracking has become such a massive user - and destroyer - of fresh water that it is endangering water supplies in many parched and drought-stricken areas in the United States and in other countries. In one year the amount of water used in fracking in the U.S. could cover Washington, DC to a depth of 22 feet. In addition to creating massive amounts of wastewater, fracking also causes earthquakes, pollutes fresh water sources and releases large amounts of methane into the atmosphere, immediately contributing to global warming.
The battle to save water is a battle people all over the world, according to Klein, are willing to fight, even to die for.
"We can't drink oil," is a refrain she writes is often heard.
As a result, opposition to fracking is growing. France, Bulgaria, the Netherlands and the Czech Republican have moratoria on fracking in place. In North America so do Vermont, New York, Quebec, Labrador and Newfoundland.
Klein writes about a very frightening topic, but she does it with a style that is personal, warm and gentle, not strident or preachy. She communicates to the reader almost as she would to a close friend, or relative. And she demonstrated that same style in her talk to an overflow, standing room only crowd Wednesday night at a Powell's bookstore in the Portland, Oregon, suburb of Beaverton. She talked as if all the people in the room were friends, or family - reinforcing the message of inclusion in her book - that in trying to save the world, we are all together.
But while her style is gentle and friendly, her message is not muted, or ambiguous.
"All non-radical changes are off the table," she said to the crowd. "We have to change a system that already has failed...this is the best chance to demand and build a better world."
And the principal part of her message is that the climate change movement can galvanize other reform movements into one major effort to bring about true economic equality and opportunity, and greater freedom. And as a centerpiece of a united movement she proposes that the government guarantee a minimum income to all citizens, something that Switzerland recent has done.
And in This Changes Everything, she leaves no doubt as to the urgency of such a movement.
"(O)nly a mass social movement can save us now. Because we know where the current system, left unchecked, is headed," she writes, adding later,

"(C)limate change does not need some shiny new movement that will magically succeed where others failed. Rather, as the furthest-reaching crisis created by the extractivist worldview, and one that puts humanity on a firm and unyielding deadline, climate change can be the force - the grand push - that will bring together all of these still living movements. A rushing river fed by countless streams, gathering collective force to finally reach the sea....
Climate change is our chance to right those festering wrongs at last - the unfinished business of liberation."

She departs from much of the environmental movement. There is no time left for incremental changes or for compromise. There simply is only one answer to the fossil fuel industry: No. No more mines. No more drilling licenses. No more pipelines. No more coal or oil terminals. No more fracking. Its growth must stop, and eventually, not too long from now, its business must end, or be dramatically curtailed.
And that is an enormous task. According to a study she quotes in the book, the existing holdings of oil, gas and coal, of the fossil fuel industry would emit five times more carbon than the earth's atmosphere can safely absorb, and are worth in present value somewhere in the range of $27 trillion. And they are looking for more sources. To save the world, they are going to have to be forced to give up 80% of that $27 trillion and severely limit, or shut down, their businesses. This is not something they will do very willingly.
She portrays the struggle as one between capitalism and the climate, but it really is a struggle with that key element of capitalism, which always has been its greatest problem - the drive for greater and greater growth and profits. Unfettered capitalism always has been its own worst enemy, but now it is the world's worst enemy. Unless it is stopped, the fossil fuel industry will destroy the world.
Progressive governments in the past reined in capitalism's worst aspects, and, ultimately, it will take government action to rein in the extraction industry and stop climate change. But we do not have a progressive government today - far from it. For that to happen, there must be a huge mobilization among the people, and it is something that has happened in the past. Can it happen again?
She begins the book by describing the problem, and she got me hooked in the Introduction, when she wrote about reading Have You Ever Seen a Moose? to her young son, and remembering a recent article in Scientific American, "Rapid Changes Turn North Woods into Moose Graveyard." It seems the moose in Alberta and nearby areas are dying off and it is believed to be because of the toxic chemicals released from the massive tar sands extraction project.
She wrote: "Will he ever see a moose?"
Her personal style once again is demonstrated later in the book when she describes her difficulties trying to get pregnant and then discovering that she was pregnant while in New Orleans and in the oily and toxic water caused by the BP disaster. It turned out to be an ectopic pregnancy (when the embryo implants outside the uterus), but before that she worried that she had damaged her baby by being in the toxic water. And she provides plenty of evidence from many places in the world where babies have been severely damaged because of the pollution of the fossil fuel industry.
In the first part of the book she criticizes international trade agreements and many environmental groups for supporting them, as well as most governments, including that headed by President Barack Obama because of his support for every method of fossil fuel extraction. As an example of the negative effects these treaties have on efforts to curb climate change, she describes how Quebec was stopped from providing support to a local solar power company because such an effort would discriminate against companies in other countries.
She contrasts North American policies with those of Germany, where many cities operate their own public utilities and where more than half of the nation's electricity now comes from solar and wind power. She quotes a number of studies showing that, if we chose to make the necessary changes in our power generating systems and businesses, existing types of renewable sources of energy could provide a majority of America's power in just the next 15 years. One, by a Stanford group, says that all of New York City's electricity could be so provided. But there are huge obstacles to such progress.
She writes:

"(T)he three policy pillars of the neoliberal age - privatization of the public sphere, deregulation of the corporate sector, and the lowering of income and corporate taxes, paid for with cuts to public spending - are each incompatible with many of the actions we must take to bring our emissions to safe levels. And together these pillars form an ideological wall that has blocked a serious response to climate change for decades."

In Part Two, titled "Magical Thinking," she criticizes most major environmental groups for failing to move the ball at all on climate change. In addition to supporting trade agreements, many environmental groups have co-opted themselves by becoming too close to the industry, or in the case of The Nature Conservancy, becoming the industry. Mobil Oil donated some Texas land known as a breeding ground for the endangered prairie chicken to the Nature Conservancy. The Conservancy later put oil wells on the property. The oil wells still are there, but the prairie chickens are gone.
The Royal Academy convened a meeting of what she called "mad scientists" to discuss means by which the sun's heat could be diverted, including schemes such as squirting chemicals into the atmosphere to block the sun's rays. She wrote that Bill Gates actually invested in one outfit attempting to develop such technology, proof that having billions of dollars does not necessarily mean having common sense.
The meat of the book is Part Three, where she describes the efforts by groups of people all over the world to combat fossil fuel extraction that threatens their towns, homes and families, calling their actions, "Blockadia." Even though most governments are doing little to combat climate change, that does not mean that citizen action is not being taken, and some of it is starting to be successful.
The Cherokee have stalled the Keystone XL Pipeline because it violates their treaty-covered lands. Similarly, native people in Canada are challenging the destruction of lands in Alberta that, under treaty, they have a right to use, and are fighting a proposed pipeline and oil terminal in British Columbia on land the government does not have a right to use.
As an example of how citizen action can succeed, she points out that China is beginning to reduce its use of coal, and will have lower future demand. Activist challenges to new coal facilities that delay their implementation may eliminate their business viability.

With This Changes Everything, Noami Klein very effectively describes the problem we face, the difficulty of solving it, but ways in which it can be effectively attacked. It should help to inspire the movement that will be necessary to force the major changes we, the people of Earth, need for our very survival.